2014-08-06 05:22 pm
Entry tags:

A Tale of Two Festivals

In late June, me and Ellie went over to Hellfest in France, and last weekend we were at Wacken in Germany. It's been 4 years since I was last able to do both festivals, and as they are more similar in size now it makes more sense to be able to compare them. Hellfest has its share of problems, but as for Wacken, I can start by saying that it's fair to say my assessment is the opposite of [livejournal.com profile] ironlord's over here - it's well past its peak now, with no prospect of improving.

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2014-05-15 04:53 pm

Idiots

Nice work Livejournal, give the site an 'upgrade' which makes the comments invisible. Unless I'm lucky enough to click the right order of events that shows me the old version of the page. Ridiculous.
2014-02-21 01:10 am

(no subject)

So, you know when you stop posting on Livejournal because it seems dead, even though you check it every day, and then you realise you've been logged out and therefore not seeing most of the posts your friends made for at least the last two months? That happened. Now my friends page only goes back as far as January 29th, so if you did anything interesting in January, I will probably never know. Oops.
2013-05-02 12:22 am
Entry tags:

'Merka

I am in San Diego for work. I've been here since just over a week ago, after getting summoned here at short notice, and I fly back to England in a couple of days. It's my first time in America so it's been quite an interesting experience, although I can't make too many judgements about the country as a whole having only seen the southwestern tip of it.

  • Apart from the body scanner, American airport security was no more troublesome than UK airport security. Having to see me naked on their security screens is a punishment for them more than for me so I can't say that bothered me too much.

  • Years ago, I was told by American friends I met online that everybody makes eye contact and says hi when you pass, which I found unusual because in the UK that's a lot rarer because people are more reserved. The vibe I actually got from people here in San Diego, is that they all do make eye contact and say hi, but somewhat reluctantly. It's as if it's done not because they want to, but because the other person is going to do it and they don't want to be the rude one by not reciprocating. Perhaps the 2 cultures are very similar but they resolved the same social dilemma in 2 opposite ways.

  • Pretty much every road out of town and in the suburbs is as wide or wider than a UK motorway. 6 lanes in each direction is common for the big roads, 3 or 4 in each direction is common for the smaller ones.

  • Their traffic lights change much less frequently than UK ones do. You can typically expect to wait 2 or 3 minutes to get through.

  • The 'Fresh and Easy' shops here are owned by Tesco, which I knew. What I didn't know is that they have exactly the same software on the self-checkouts, except for a dollar sign here and there and an American voice giving you the instructions.

  • There is a common policy to ID anybody buying alcohol if they look under the age of 50. This is a country where beers are sometimes denied to 49 year olds but rifles are marketed at children.

  • It's hot - but not universally so. Mornings have been typically 15C, it goes up to 25-30C for the early afternoon, and it's back down to 15C by early evening. The days are shorter here than in England at this time of year due to the latitude so if you're in work all day you actually miss most of the blistering heat.

  • Food prices are weird. Not high, not low, just weird. You can get a large piece of good steak for $2.00. But then their cheapest loaf of bread is also $2.00.

  • Microwave meals here have less sauce than their British equivalents. I do not know why.

  • They're more into ale than the English are. Most of it is pretty poor, but I've been to about 10 different food establishments over the last week and I think the only one that didn't serve an ale of some sort was the Thai place. Most offer several. I wonder if this just reflects a British failure to promote its own products adequately, given that we have hundreds of good breweries yet they often only seem to stock local pubs. The few English ales that are actually bottled seem to fill the shelves here.

  • No generic pharmaceuticals available in the supermarkets. You want painkillers, you're buying the named brands at the typical high prices.

  • Prefabricated pavements. They don't lay down strips of tarmac, but instead put down square blocks of concrete and arrange them in a line.

  • They have 2 kinds of music here; stuff from the 80s, and stuff from this year. Nothing in between. (A slight exaggeration: I heard a couple of early 90s tracks on the radio, but that's it.)

  • The stereotype of the brash, outgoing American doesn't extend as far as their tech industry; for the most part, programmers here are the same as programmers back in England.

  • On the other hand, some stereotypes hold true. I've seen middle-aged men with serious paunches wearing t-shirts espousing some sort of "armed and ready to defend our rights" slogan.

  • I finally got to try root beer, and it's like Fisherman's Friend in liquid form. (But not the alcoholic equivalent which we had at Wacken a few years back.)

I would post some pictures, but apparently Livejournal still doesn't have a way for me to upload and include pictures in one action, so I can't be bothered. This would be a good jumping-off point for talking about why the business model for internet companies inevitably ends up with site development slowing to a crawl and users deserting in droves, but I'll save that for next time. If I remember.
2013-03-28 01:31 am
Entry tags:

A few extra thoughts on how people discover new music

I've been thinking about the results and trying to distil them down into broader categories, which maybe tell us more about general attitudes to music discovery.

Recommendations or positive coverage by other people, friends or reviewers, make up over 40% of the examples. This shows the power of people we trust placing the music in a positive light. Obviously the key here is to find people who like your music, and make it easy for them to share it with others. Undoubtedly a part of that is about playing gigs where people can bring their friends to see you - but that requires that you have a decent fan base to begin with. It's cheaper and easier to let them share online.

Reviews alone carry about 1/3 of the weight that friend recommendations do. Magazines seem to still be the biggest game in town here. Perhaps the key is to get good reviews as the seeds from which the friend recommendations will grow.

More passive forms of coverage by other people, eg. music presented without comment at clubs, on radio, etc, make up almost 19% of the results: well worth aiming at, although with it being both harder to achieve and less likely to pay off than getting word of mouth recommendations, it shouldn't be the main strategy.

Automated recommendations based on your own purchases or listening habits make up about 11% of the results. I don't know whether this is something bands can easily aim at, but I suspect this proportion will grow over time, I'm surprised that Spotify didn't feature at all in my results though, as I thought people were discovering new music that way. Given the scandalous nature of how little they pay artists for each stream, it would be adding insult to injury to find out that hardly anybody is getting much new exposure that way either.

Discovery directly via live performance was just over 7%, and almost all of that was from festivals. I don't know whether this imbalance is because festivals are more popular than individual gigs or whether people are more open to discovering new bands at festivals. I suspect both are true to an extent. The only lesson I see here is that the vast, vast majority of people will not form their first impression of you via an intimate gig, so gigging as the primary way to reach people is misguided, at least for the audience I surveyed.
2013-03-27 01:07 am

How do you discover new music? Discussion and results...

Yesterday I asked, "How do you discover new music?" because of some advice I have seen given out to musicians over the last year - advice which is rarely questioned. The advice is basically that the main and first route to growing your band's fan base is just to play more gigs, building up a local fanbase, then broadening out to other cities across the country.

One example is this post on Reddit on "how to help your band grow" where the 2 key points are "Play local gigs, and get more fans." and "Branch out to shows beyond your hometown." Barely anybody there questioned this, and when it was questioned, the original poster said "It's about creating a network of support, and nothing beats the live experience". Is this true? Is the live experience the best way to build that network of support? (Let's ignore how inappropriate it is for many genres of music that don't lend themselves to live gigs, too.)

Another is this video on YouTube which suggests that if a band has $10,000 and wants to spend that on promoting itself, the best approach is to spend it on travel costs so that you can get out on the road, show you're not a local band, and get out in front of new fans and other professionals. At this suggestion my mild scepticism turned to outright disbelief. To my mind, that way will result in you playing gig after gig to empty or near-empty rooms, because who's going to come and see an unknown band from out of town?

More anecdotally, I've often heard it suggested that bands need to be gigging regularly to get anywhere. Some bands play tirelessly up and down the country, seemingly getting nowhere while their fans and advocates lament how odd it is that such a hard-working band is still overlooked by the musical powers that be. But I don't actually think it's surprising.

Basically, I believe that playing lots of small gigs has little to no bearing on whether you make and keep new fans, in 2013. In past decades, local gigs might have been the main way fans got into new music, once you filter out pop bands appearing on TV and radio, and already-established acts appearing in specialist press. Smaller acts played the pub and club circuit hoping to catch the eye of the right person and get signed, which would give them access to bigger tours, magazine coverage, etc. But I don't think that is how it works any more. I don't get the impression that label A&R men are still prowling tiny gigs looking for a gem in the rough, and I certainly don't think that as many people go to underground gigs as was the case in the past, because they have a more compelling alternative in the form of The Internet™. Sites like Last.fm, YouTube, and Spotify let people discover new bands based on their existing taste, at zero monetary cost and in very little time, without needing to leave their own home or put up with substandard gig sound in the local dive bar, drinking semi-poisonous draught beer to try and make the evening more palatable. And based on my own experiences as an occasional live performer, I don't think most live gigs translate into a significant number of new fans at all.

In short, my hypothesis was that today, most people do not discover the music they listen to through live performances; they are most likely to discover it via internet-based promotion of some sort.

So, I did a small informal experiment, and asked my Facebook and Livejournal friends to pick 5 artists at random and tell me how they discovered that artist. The mechanism of selection was supposed to be a media player of some sort, to remove human bias from the selection and to weight the results towards the music people are actually listening to.

I got about 20 responses, although not all did the whole 5 bands, and some provided more than 5 bands - in the latter cases, I'll choose the group of 5 which most strongly contradicts my hypothesis to minimise my own bias here.

In total I got 86 results, and here's where we (claim to have) discovered these bands:

  • Recommendations from a friend: 27

  • Last.fm: 10

  • Seen on TV or in a film: 6

  • By association with another band that is already known and liked (eg. shared members, side-project): 5

  • Magazine review or article: 4

  • Heard on radio: 4

  • Heard at a club night: 3

  • Seen at a festival: 3

  • On a label or magazine compilation CD: 2

  • Based on packaging or artwork seen in shop: 2

  • Web forum: 2

  • Heard on podcast: 2

  • Seen at a gig (presumably not a festival, but not specified): 1

  • Rateyourmusic.com: 2

  • eBay 'similar items' list: 1

  • Based on photo seen online: 1

  • Assigned to review for print media: 1

  • Review (no explanation of where): 1

  • Newspaper review or article: 1

  • Checked out due to name similarity to other band: 1

  • Part of (presumably unauthorised) download of several items: 1

  • Same label as another band already known and liked: 1

  • Appearing at a future festival I will attend: 1

  • "Internet" (no explanation of where): 1

  • Looked up "after internet-stalking someone I rather fancied at the time": 1

  • Bought due to cool name: 1

  • Worked with band as a sound engineer/producer: 1

So, out of 86 bands, 27 of them (31.3%) came to us via recommendations from friends. 21 of them (24.4%) came via various internet sites or through methods that require the internet. Only 5 of them, a mere 5.8% of the total, made their way onto our playlists directly as a result of us seeing the band live, or expecting to see the band live.

In my opinion, this result is strong enough to refute the suggestion that live gigs are the primary way to get new fans. It seems clear that, as I suspected, people are getting into new music via other means. However, I don't think the evidence is clear that the internet plays as large a part in this as I had expected. If we take out friend recommendations and leave only the independent discoveries, 35.6% of the bands we discover come from internet-based promotion and exposure, but almost twice that figure come from a variety of other sources. But then a lot of the friend recommendations might only be happening due to the ease of sharing YouTube videos and Spotify playlists on Facebook, Twitter, Last.fm, etc. It would be interesting to dig into that further.

I was surprised at how overwhelming the value of recommendations by friends was. Our group of acquaintances are either sharing a lot of music, or know our tastes extremely well, or both. It would seem that bands need to make it easy for their fans to share their music and convert new fans as a result.

I was also surprised to see so few people citing podcasts (2) or internet radio (0) as sources of new music - although this tallies with my gut feeling that there aren't many listeners to these shows. Is this an attention span issue, where people would rather check out individual songs via YouTube than listen to a show that may go on for several hours?

I was not surprised to see that magazine cover cds didn't make much of an impression. My band was on such a cd, and we didn't notice any increase in listening habits, purchases, downloads, or Facebook fan count. It's common for magazines to charge aspiring bands for the privilege of being featured on these cds, and given the data here, I'm even more inclined than before to declare it a bit of a scam, exploiting bands who feel they should be investing in their act but who don't realise how little effect this particular route will have.

Although I think this is quite negative regarding the value of gigs as promotion, there are obviously second-order effects to consider. How many of the recommendations came from friends who had seen the band live, for example? And perhaps playing live significantly increases a band's chances of getting onto TV, or into a magazine, or to be played at a club night. These are possibilities - but I think that if live bands were making much of an impression on our friends, we'd have seen a higher showing of them making an impression on us directly. I think it's also significant that more people got into bands through seeing them at festivals than at individual gigs. This supports my hunch that simply playing small gigs across the country is not much use - ideally you play at festivals where you get in front of more people. But obviously this is easier said than done.

Final notes on demographics etc: obviously my friends skew towards being fairly technical, and more so since I asked people via internet sites, so there is likely to be an overrepresentation of internet use here. But I think I also have a larger proportion of gig-going friends than the average person, so either the chances of getting discovered via a gig are even worse than these very pessimistic results suggest, or I have friends who are suckers for punishment and attend awful gigs. I suspect a little of both.

Comments welcomed.
2013-03-26 10:22 am
Entry tags:

How do you discover new music?

I have a hypothesis about how people get into new bands, and it seems to be strangely different from what the musicians online seem to believe. So I am conducting an informal survey, and I'd be grateful to get some responses here if anybody has a spare few moments.

If you put your iPod/media player/whatever on shuffle, take the first 5 bands or artists that come up, and think about how you first heard that band, or what event made you pay attention to them.

Examples might include: recommendation by a friend, seeing them at a gig or a festival, hearing them played at a club night, a random play via Spotify or Last.fm, a shared post or event on Facebook, the band containing a personal friend of yours, seeing them in a catalogue or other sales listing, on TV, on radio, internet radio, etc etc. I'm sure there are other ways that I've forgotten.

When I checked this for myself last night, the answer was: 2 through recommendations from a friend, 1 via Last.fm, 1 via eBay, and 1 at a club night.
2012-09-20 01:32 am
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(no subject)

Not much to report right now - but I would like to point out to those with plenty of spare time on their hands that I've recently started uploading a load of Skyrim pictures to Tumblr with my usual silly captions, at this address: http://anordandhissword.tumblr.com/tagged/skyrim/chrono

Tumblr's a good choice for such things as you reach random people much more easily on there, which I think is cool when you're just posting silly stuff like screenshots from video games. Plus, the uploading interface and all-round presentation is a thousand times better, despite it being a relatively new service. I wish Livejournal had kept pace with all the developments in social media and blogging, but alas, it did not. The downside of Tumblr is that it's too anonymous - people see your stuff and 'like' it or 'reblog' it - but you will never know much about those people, because there are no profile pages, and nobody goes on Tumblr to talk about themselves, just to repost other people's pictures. It's a bit lonely really, like being in a room of people where nobody speaks anybody else's language. Another symptom of the modern internet I guess, making money from your existing associations rather than caring if you can form new ones.
2012-08-30 10:15 pm

Winter is coming

It's cold outside. I have a love/hate relationship with this time of year, and being outdoors for a while on this relatively chilly evening reminded me of this.

I hate it, because I like the summer. I have fond memories as a child making the most of the six-week summer holiday, playing football, building dens, exploring the local area, pretending to be Robin Hood with bows and arrows we made ourselves, going on long bike rides, and more. As I got older the archery and harmless trespassing gave way to evenings sat outside pubs with a pint of cider or days spent in fields watching bands at a festival, but summer stayed entertaining.

Recent years have had disappointing summers. Obviously the UK is not known for its consistent or pleasant weather but even so, the last half decade or so has seemed to be especially bad. The amount of sunshine has been below average every year from 2008 to today except for 2009. This summer was the wettest in 100 years and that's saying something, with rain also significantly above average in 2011, 2009, 2008, and 2007 too. So in recent times people like myself have noticed the end of August approaching and start feeling disappointed that yet again there was little in the way of prolonged sunshine, the long and dry summers of our youth seeming like an illusion.

And yet, looking out over the Nottingham skyline and breathing in the autumnal air, I also remember some of what I love about this time of year. Ever since I turned 16, the end of summer has brought with it a sense of promise. To begin with, that was leaving school and starting at college, and two years later I moved here to begin university. Each academic year would bring new people. Most of my friends, and indeed girlfriends, I met for the first time in the autumn. Most years I'd just have moved into a new house too, and any problems with the old house and its inhabitants were banished (and new problems, though a certainty, would be yet to arise).

Some of this has faded now, of course. Acquainting myself with the latest bunch of eighteen-year-old new students doesn't interest me as much as it did 5 or 10 years ago, for example. And I have not moved house for about six years. But still, that sense of possibility lingers: the feeling that there are new things to do, new people to meet, new places to go. I guess I'll see over the next couple of months whether that's true or not.
2011-10-19 06:03 pm
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(no subject)

Wow, over 40 entries since I last checked here 3 days ago. I guess people still use LJ, hmm? Good, good.

A proper update will come along either tonight or tomorrow.
2011-08-16 01:46 pm
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The rich getting richer, poor getting poorer?

We hear this phrase uttered a lot as a partial explanation of what is wrong with our society. But how bad is the problem?

You can go here - http://www.poverty.org.uk/09/index.shtml - for a lot of interesting stats. But the most interesting one is this image which I reproduce here:



This is the change of income in real terms (ie. after inflation, so real purchasing power) and it shows quite clearly the poorest 10% getting significantly poorer. (Apparently the 10% mark is about £120 gross income per week.)

But going the other direction, it's not just the rich getting richer. It's the 'relatively well-off', the 'average', and the 'fairly poor' all getting richer too. This doesn't match the usual narrative! In particular you can make an argument based on these figures that almost the whole country can afford to contribute more towards helping those at the bottom, not just the mega-rich. Ed Miliband's focus on the "squeezed middle" seems a little silly when you see that the middle is actually doing pretty damn well.

Another interesting stat on that page is that the income gap between the top 10% and the median is growing, but more slowly than the gap between the median and the bottom 10%. And maybe that matches in some way what we saw on the streets last week - not the poor angry at the mega rich (who they never see anyway), but at the average person, who might be considered working or lower middle class, but whose lot in life has improved significantly over the last 15 years compared to those on social security.

It also means that while there is still an argument for taxing the rich, there is perhaps more of an argument for taxing everybody but the poor, especially if the inequality is bigger between the bottom and the middle than between the middle and the top. Raise the 20% basic income tax rate to 21%?
2011-08-11 10:44 am
Entry tags:

And more, on parenting

Here's an unusual thing: a Guardian article that almost entirely mirrors things I've been saying for ages.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/aug/10/uk-riots-liberal-right-parent

"Why aren't the parents calling up their children and saying, 'Come back here at once'? They can't. Those days are gone, that authority has gone. A lot of parents are not able to stop their child from going out."

""What's going on here today? Children are making children. They are not old enough and haven't got the education to raise those children. So the children become just like them. They wind up with no education, no future. If the parents aren't there to give discipline that child will run like a wild fox until the day he dies."


In particular much of what was said by David Lammy, Tottenham's Labour MP, is exactly what I've said to people too.

"In areas like mine, we know that 59% of black Caribbean children are looked after by a lone parent. There is none of the basic starting presumption of two adults who want to start a family, raise children together, love them, nourish them and lead them to full independence. [...] We are seeing huge consequences of the lack of male role models in young men's lives."

"How do you find your masculinity in the absence of role models? Through hip-hop, through gang culture, through peer groups. It is hugely problematic. Teenagers are in school until 3.30, and then MTV, Facebook, the internet, kicks in with a set of values that comes with it. It is not clear to me that parents are equipped to deal with that."

"The right have a lot to say about parenting, but no one on the left wants to talk about this. A void has emerged around it. It's a profound problem."

"I've opened so many adventure playgrounds for under fives, but what about the teenagers? Sure Start is fine, but you need it to continue until the age of 18."
2011-08-11 12:55 am
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Politics is fucking me off

Year after year recently the Government has spent more than it actually earns on trying to improve the lot of the poor, by 'investing' in public services. These are not true investments, of course, because none of these extra costs have paid for themselves, nor look like ever doing so. It's just expenditure. But it has gone up nonetheless. Only 4 years of the 29 between 1979 and 2008 saw spending cuts in real terms. Even under Thatcher spending still rose 1.1% a year in real terms. (www.ifs.org.uk/bns/05ebn2.pdf)

And yet still people say, "we need to spend more on the poor, who are increasingly marginalised, so they don't feel the need to riot". How come, when the amount of public spending is at an all-time high, people still complain it's not enough? Every year, more and more has been spent, but still, all that so-called investment has been paid back by people trashing their own cities, with simpering Lefties saying that the answer is to spend even more, because obviously the near annual spending increases for the last 3 decades still aren't enough. When would it end? When the state is spending all the country's money as a Communist nation?

And where would the money come from? "Tax the rich!" they say, as if there is just a pot of money that can be grabbed with impunity. Yet these are often the same people that spend most of the last 2 decades telling us we should join the EU and be friendlier towards our European neighbours - which has just meant that if you over-tax a rich person or large company, they can freely move their headquarters to any other EU country, no visa or permission required, and instead of getting more tax revenue from them you get a big fat zero instead. Good thinking. And these are often the ones who say, "oh, these awful Con-Dems in Government are cutting spending and jeopardising growth" - growth is what the private sector is for but if you tax the fuck out of them then they have no money to invest in growing their business. More good thinking.

By 2015, after the Government cuts (which barely even make a dent in the problem of spending money that we don't have), public spending will be back to 2004/2005 levels. Remember that awful year of 2005, when dead bodies didn't get buried, rubbish piled up on the streets, inflation was 26%, etc? No? That's because 2005 was actually just fine, thank you. However if you look back at 1978/1979, all those things did happen, and that was after years of trying to help matters by taxing the rich with a top rate of 83%. It doesn't work. It just punishes the people who make jobs.

I don't know what the solution to preventing further riots is, but I am 100% damned sure it is not just about pledging to spend even more money on initiatives that are plainly having little effect. The country needs to stop pretending that the solution to our social problems is to throw cash at it. The issues are more fundamental than that and neither borrowing nor taxing more are ethically or economically sound ideas anyway.
2011-07-24 11:54 pm
Entry tags:

(no subject)

It's rather annoying to not be able to watch Game of Thrones.  I won't download it illegally as I think that's the wrong thing to do, but that's the only way I could watch it. It's frustrating to be in a position where I'm willing to pay for something but I still can't be supplied with it.

I have book 5 here though, 'A Dance With Dragons'. Only problem is, I've long since forgotten all the details of the previous books, it being 5 years since the last one came out. Maybe I should find some sort of website that gives a brief chapter by chapter run-down. I'd pay for that, too!
2011-04-19 11:43 am
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Alternative Vote

One thing I've found interesting is that a lot of people are talking about the Alternative Vote option in the forthcoming referendum as being an obvious choice due to being fairer. This is strange, because in itself it's no more fair on a constituency by constituency level than the existing 'most votes wins' system. In fact, no simple voting system can fulfill all the fairness criteria that exist, and this is mathematically proven, so it's always worth trying to understand the ways in which any new system can be unfair in ways that the previous system was not.

The UK is quite interesting in having 3 major parties, which is handy as it's with a 3 party system that you can most easily expose the flaws with a voting system. A common complaint with the current system is as follows: imagine 100 voters vote as follows: Conservative 35, Labour 33, Liberal 32. In the current situation, the Conservative candidate wins. Yet many would say that since the Labour and Liberal candidates have more similar policies (debatable right now, but that has historically often been the perception), the choice that would satisfy most people - up to 65 of them, maybe more if some Conservative voters are close to undecided - would be for either the Labour or Liberal candidate to be elected as a compromise choice. This is why Alternative Vote allows you to specify a second preference, and a third, etc., as an attempt to capture this sort of compromise. It also helps in that you can vote for a smaller party which is very unlikely to get elected, while still having some influence over the final result through your subsequent preferences. At the moment people are dissuaded from voting for the smaller party because they are unlikely to be elected and that vote is then 'lost' when it could have been spent more wisely in deciding a close contest between your 2nd choice and your 3rd or 4th choice (for example).

However. Imagine the voting went like this: Conservative 49, Labour 26, Liberal 25. Under the current system, the Conservatives win. Now take the Alternative Vote system, and the Liberal candidate is eliminated and anybody who voted for him or her gets their 2nd choice vote counted instead. If we continue to assume that Labour and Liberals both prefer each other to Conservatives, and that therefore the new result is Conservative 49, Labour 51, under AV the Labour candidate wins. Seems reasonable. Except what has happened here is that the Liberal voters have found that their 2nd preference votes are worth just as much as a Labour or Conservative 1st preference. That in itself seems unfair because the other voters haven't had their 2nd choice counted. Labour won't mind, as they've come off best. But what if you actually counted the Conservative 2nd choices, which have been ignored - they might be mostly Liberal! This is what the 'No to AV' campaigners mean when they say that some people's votes would count twice - the Liberal voters, perhaps knowing they were in 3rd place to begin with, got a 'free' vote. So, having established that a second choice can count for just as much as a first choice, how about we count everybody's first and second choices together? In this situation, now with 200 votes, you might get a score more like Conservative 49, Labour 51, Liberal 100. So the Liberals win.

One set of voting results, yielding 3 possible outcomes, all appearing fair in some sense and unfair in another.

Interestingly, the way "tactical voting" would operate under the Alternative Vote system is a bit different to now. Instead of deliberately picking your 2nd choice party if you think your 1st choice has no chance, people are best served by ordering their preferences from least likely to win to most likely - after all, if you back a winner from the start, your 2nd preference (and 3rd, and so on) are wasted, but if you back the first loser, your 2nd choice counts, then potentially your 3rd, all the way up. This means we're likely to see a lot more votes cast for fringe and extreme parties - what used to be just a protest vote will get augmented by the people who currently vote for the mainstream parties to avoid wasting their vote. This is good news for those who feel that the main 3 parties are not radical enough, but I think people might be dismayed when they see the strength of opinion on the far edges of political spectrum.
2011-04-15 01:13 am
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(no subject)

Wow... it's 11 years since they were filming the Lord of the Rings movies. Where did the time go? It's quite scary, really.
2011-03-09 04:36 am
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Glitches

Oh, and if you said anything on here recently that was relevant to me, let me know, as some posts from my friends are apparently just not showing up on here! For instance I can see an entry on one person's journal from yesterday which is nowhere to be seen on my friends list. Very odd.
2011-02-05 03:58 pm
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Budget cuts

Ah, government cuts. Is there a more divisive issue?

Local cuts to the budget that covers shelters for the homeless appears to have become a massive issue, but with a few interesting nuances. The BBC's Mark Easton covered some of the argument between Nottingham City Council and the Government in his blog entry here, which gets straight to the point, saying that "Framework has initiated judicial review proceedings against Nottingham City Council and the Department for Local Government and Communities claiming it is "caught in the middle" of a blame game between local and national politicians." And indeed, dig a little further and this seems to be exactly what you see. The Government claim the cut to the budget was 10.7% - the council claim it was 45%. Who is right?

This has raged for a few weeks now with councillors and ministers trading barbs and insults, with the occasional interesting tidbit showing up. The other day saw this: "The Communities Secretary Eric Pickles fired a salvo over the Labour-council's reluctance to publish all spending over £500. For starters, [Housing Minister] Grant Shapps singles out the £250,000 spent on lamp post banners, which promote the council's ambitions for the city. There was criticism over sending six officers to Cannes for a Europe-wide property fair."

One local drop-in centre, Emmanuel House, was the subject of a short article on the BBC the other day (sorry for all the BBC links), which highlighted the risks to the service users and also the potential for increased anti-social behaviour, etc. But buried at the bottom was this little gem of a statement: "[...] we have assessed the service provided by Emmanuel House and don't believe the outcomes meet the level of funding we provide. Services for rough sleepers and other homeless people have changed substantially over the past decade with a greater emphasis placed on prevention. As a result of the Government cuts, we need to accelerate the restructuring of the services we provide for these vulnerable citizens." This looks remarkably like an implicit admission that the Council wanted to cut this particular service anyway, considering that it wasn't good value for money, but has now got the opportunity to do so while blaming national government for it. Intriguing!

(Interesting technological aside: Mark Easton's blog entry doesn't show up if you search for the content in it, eg. http://www.bbc.co.uk/search/?q=%22Nottingham%20City%20Council%22 . I clicked the 'Contact us' link at the bottom of the BBC website to report this problem, which took me to www.bbc.co.uk/feedback/. On there is a link for 'Website technical faults', and if you follow that, it tells you to use the 'Contact us' link on the page. Er, how do you think I got there? So now I have two problems to report to them, if I can ever find a way.)


Library cuts are also big news, with there being a national day of action taking place right now, It says "We want everyone who cares about reading, literacy and libraries to use their public library on the 5th February and tell as many people as they can to do the same.", which is a great sentiment, but I can't help but feel that if these libraries were getting used as much as they should be that councils wouldn't have earmarked so many for closure. A similiar thing happened here when the local council started closing down leisure centres (long before this Government's cuts, I should add) - lots of people were sad at losing a local amenity, but it was one few ever used.

Maybe part of this is just cultural change. A lot of the things I would once have gone to a library to do, I no longer need to do. I can use Google and Wikipedia for most of my basic research, and the collapse/banning of the Net Book Agreement, the resulting plethora of discount book shops, and sites like Amazon, have meant that I now buy a lot of books that once I might have borrowed. And the type of books I want to read have changed too, with that having an impact on the usefulness of libraries to me. Both my previous university's library and the public library were awful, bordering on useless, when it came to having computing books that were even remotely up to date. This isn't too surprising really, since an institution that is dedicated to preserving knowledge for long periods of time is always going to struggle when faced with subjects that are often antiquated and indeed bordering on obsolete by the time that a book on the matter hits the shelves. And do you need a physical book anyway, when looking at reference material? Even the best index is a poor match for an electronic search.

At this point I'd suggest that perhaps libraries need to modernise and change their offerings to the public, but I am almost entirely sure that my librarian friends would call me out on my ignorance and point out that, if I ever went to a library, I would already see such diverse offerings and modernisation. :) But I guess these things just aren't made very clear to the public. Are we making the most of the services that our taxes pay for? Do we even know they exist? That is at least one thing that this day of action might solve; people might go along for the first time in months or years and notice something useful that they didn't know was there.

How many people should benefit from a service for it to justify getting significant public funding? I'm reminded of the parallel argument over Educational Maintenance Allowance, where many 16 to 18 year olds were paid an extra £30 to encourage them to stay in education or training, but where the increase in participation as a result only rose by 10%, and where it's reported that the majority of those being paid said they would have gone anyway.

Difficult questions, in these times when money is tight.
2010-12-19 01:29 am
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Albums of 2010

I suppose I'm not going to buy any more music this year, so now's as good a time as any to enumerate my top 10 albums of the year, especially since I have a spare half hour or so. Admittedly I only bought about 20 albums, so you're going to see everything that I think was above average for me in 2010.

In alphabetical order:

Agalloch - Marrow of the Spirit

I'll confess: I've only listened to this album once. But I gave it my full attention, which must count for something, right? It's incredibly intricate and detailed, a real work of art. I'm not entirely impressed with the mix and production - I wouldn't settle for such dead drums or fuzzy guitars, and at one point a guitar seems to be quite out of tune. And I may be getting too far into music tech territory for complaining about the room reverb on the opening cello when there's another sample playing suggesting an outdoor environment, to be fair. But you can see past all this to the majesty beneath. I'd say this is essentially a reworking of their 'Pale Folklore' album - fans of the mellow moments on 'The Mantle' or the more accessible riffs of 'Ashes Against The Grain' may take a while to adjust to this one.

Alcest
- Ecailles De Lune

A disproportionate quantity of girls like Alcest. Why is this? Perhaps it's because it's black metal that is 'pretty'? Answers on a postcard please. This album at least has some weight to it, unlike predecessor 'Souvenirs d'un autre monde' which, in my opinion, is a little weak (but might suit non-metal fans). There are some great passages here, beautiful melodies over sporadic blastbeats that strike a perfect balance between feeling organic and being clinically precise - something most black metal bands fail at, one way or the other. My only criticism is that the end of the album tails off somewhat.

Barren Earth - Curse Of The Red River

It's a Swallow the Sun and Amorphis supergroup. As such it sounds like Swallow The Sun covering Amorphis. 'Nuff said. Actually, while that is an accurate enough description in that fans of those bands will find something to enjoy here, there are some progressive and 70s elements here added to the mix too - again, both of which you see to a degree in the aforementioned bands, but brought more to the front here.

In Mourning
- Monolith

I'd never heard of these lot before seeing this album in Clint's shop The Heavy Sounds and was pleasantly surprised. They sound typically Scandinavian - just, in several different ways. It's melodic death metal, it's doom-death, it's progressive death, it's all of those things in one package. You can also hear their singer on the new October Tide album, mentioned below.

October Falls - A Collapse Of Faith

Not many people know of this band, which I believe is pretty much a one-man project. He releases black metal with acoustic folk interludes and overlays, and has been doing it for 10 years, so it's a shame that popularity has passed him by when that sort of thing is all the rage at the moment. The songs here are simple but effective, long enough to draw you in but short enough to not outstay their welcome.

October Tide - A Thin Shell

The long-awaited and unexpected return of October Tide! This 3rd album comes many years after the previous one and as a result does not sound terribly like a direct continuation of the earlier work. But, you can hear the links if you pay attention, with Fredrik Norrman's dissonant lead sounds that were a trademark of mid-period Katatonia albums making a return here. If you like doom-death or ever find yourself wishing that Katatonia had some of their old weighty riffs back, this record should hit the spot.

Remembrance - Fall, Obsidian Night

I don't have a vinyl player at present so I couldn't hear the new Shape of Despair EP. However, Remembrance play something very similar - melodic funeral doom with strings and occasional female vocals - so that's good enough for me. It's beautiful stuff, but not going to be packing any dancefloors any time soon.

Shadowgarden - Ashen

Draconian don't seem to be doing much at the moment, so main songwriter Johan Ericson (hey, I never knew the Swedish language had the letter 'C'...) has taken the opportunity to indulge his gothic metal side with this project. Apart from the obvious similarities to Draconian, people have rightfully compared it to Sentenced too, but most interesting to me is that it sounds reminiscent of the mostly-forgotten Swedish band Cemetary, who had a pretty unique sound that is hinted at in places here. To be sure, this is 'just' gothic metal and not going to win any awards for progressive song-writing or deep meanings but if you like your metal singalongable on occasion then you can't go far wrong with this.

Throes of Dawn - The Great Fleet Of Echoes

Throes of Dawn are another gem mostly overlooked by the scene - historically playing slightly avant-garde black metal with keyboards that aren't afraid to actually sound like keyboards rather than pretending to be an orchestra in a box. Compared to the previous 3 releases this one is a lot less extreme, coming across more like recent Tiamat, harsh vocals almost (but not) entirely replaced by clean ones. Only the title track really sounds like their previous albums, the rest being the same instrumentation as before put to much mellower effect. For the most part this is an album you'll listen to in the background, or while relaxing, and that isn't necessarily a bad thing.

Winterfylleth - The Mercian Sphere

Many of you are familiar with this album already so I won't say too much. While their first album felt quite unique, possibly with slight hints of early Satyricon in places, this one has a clearer sound and better execution, while perhaps losing just a touch of the variety as a result. Don't get me wrong, it's hard to fault the album and every track is great, but I felt predecessor 'The Ghost Of Heritage' had a little more to it. I find myself wondering whether - to draw an analogy to another English band in a similar position 30 years ago - this is their well-produced but slightly sterile "Killers" album after an invigorating "Iron Maiden". In that case the third album was arguably the real masterpiece, combining the best of both worlds, and maybe we'll see that from the 'Fylleth next time around too.
2010-12-17 05:09 pm
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(no subject)

I hate Christmas. Apart from the fact that it follows hot on the heels of my birthday which I also hate, it's a time when I feel I should be buying presents for my close family, absolutely none of whom I know what to get, at all. I remember how disappointing it was as a kid to open a crap present so I would rather get them nothing than something they don't like, but this just means added pressure. Mostly it's my nephew and niece I want to buy things for but have been given no help from the family as to what they would like. When I was that age I had a long Christmas list, but no, not now apparently.

It's just a load of hassle for no reward. Fed up of it.